Congratulations subscribers who took the Seahawks Moneyline and Under 45.5! Our final recap is victorious!!
Super Bowl Recap - YTD 37-17 (.685), 6-12 (.333) ATS, 31-5 (.861) ML
Seahawks Moneyline - W
Yes some prop bets worked and others didn’t, although we only count the game forecast towards the record. The game really went to plan, low scoring, defense dominating (our MVP vote would have been the Seahawks defense!), and eventually the better team pulled away.
Prop Bet Recap
Uunder on 45.5 and we like what was discussed about the first half under of 22.5 - 2 Ws
A.J. Barner - First TD +1400 - Sam will want a safe pass to the reliable TE for a quick start. - Best odds win of the game, hope all got on this one! - W
A few additional anytime TDs worth considering on the long odd side:
Sam Darnold +800 - L
Jake Bobo +1100 - L
Elton Chism +1300 - L
Tier 4 - Prop Bets 1-5 - Layups - 4-1
Darnold +200 Yard -290 - W
Maye +175 Yards -425 - W
Darnold +1 TD pass -850 - W
Maye +1 TD pass -550 - W
Jaxson Smith-Njigaba +50 Yards Receiving -900 - L
Tier 3 - Prop Bets 6-10 - Value Picks - 3-2
Diggs +3 Receptions -650 - W
Diggs +30 Yards Receiving -300 - W
Walker +50 Yards Rushing -370 - W
Sam Darnold more Passing Yards than Drake Maye -133 - L
Darnold 2 TD Passes -135 - L
Tier 2 Prop Bets 11-15 - Risk, but possible - 1-4
Kupp 1 TD +275 - L
Shaheed 1 TD +375 - L
Henry 1 TD +225 - L
Walker 1 TDs -190 - L
+1 D/Special Teams TD Seahawks +370 - W
Tier 1 Prop Best 16-20 - High Risk - 1-4
Kupp 1 TD, Darnold 200 Yards Passing, Maye 180 Passing Yards +500 - L
Shaheed 1 TD, Darnold 1 TD pass, Maye 1 TD pass +460 - L
Henry 1 TD, Jaxson Smith-Njigaba 50 Yards Receiving, Diggs 3 Receptions - +290 - L
Maye 1 Int, Diggs 30 Yards Receiving, Walker 50 Yards Rushing +161 - W
+1 D/Special Teams TD - Seahawks, Walker 1 TD, Darnold 2 TD Passes +1640 - L
Final Thoughts
Thank you to every subscriber paid or free for all your support this season! Amazing growth despite a slightly below average season, although still winning! And shout out to Moshe Stern , really enjoyed our pre-game discussion Thursday and look forward to more next season or if you are having any around the draft!
Things will be quieter on the posting side of things over the next few weeks, as we will be researching and improving the models and continue with our quest to forecast the ultimate game changer, turnovers!
We will talking more come closer to draft time, although free agency is just a month away and the cycle towards Kickoff begins!
Until then, Enjoy!