Wild Card Weekend
It's all Best Bet Time!
GAME ON! Welcome to the NFL Playoffs and thank you for reading, following, and supporting our service! All remaining games will have a Best Bet pick.
TO ALL OUR FRIENDS IN LA
Before we discuss this weekend’s game, let me first express our thoughts and prayers to everyone in the Los Angeles area impacted by the devastating wild fires. Please do whatever is necessary to keep you and your family safe. Houses can be rebuilt! Here is a tool for guidance on how to protect yourself https://www.wildfirela.org/
Regular Season Reflections
We finish the regular season with a meek 2-2 week 18. For the regular season our final record, 34-12 or 74%. A little below the long term average, but still profitable if you played along. Congrats to all that joined us!
SOS Final
For our last review, here are our rankings of the teams that made the playoffs and how hard it was to get there. The rank values are not typos. That is that ranking each of these teams in the league. Always worth thinking about as the playoffs unfold or if you are thinking about a Futures bet on the Super Bowl.
As always, if you are a newbie, the SOS background is available in our week 13 note
RK TEAM
7 PACKERS
8 RAVENS
12 LIONS
14 RAMS
15 BUCCANEERS
16 STEELERS
17 BRONCOS
21 CHIEFS
22 TEXANS
25 VIKINGS
27 CHARGERS
28 BILLS
30 EAGLES
31 COMMANDERS
Wild Card Weekend
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CHARGERS - 2.5 - As many know, I find the Texans to not be the team they were last year, mostly due to the offensive line, which has become offensive to all. The Bolts could be that wild card team which shocks us all, but they need to take that 1 week at a time.
RAVENS - 6.5 - Alternative Spread, but I think they are going to have an easy time. Steelers know them well, so caution on the points
BILLS - MONEYLINE - I like the Bills, but this one will be close. The Broncos cause several match-up problems, a good defense, and a Super Bowl winning coach. The Bills have more talent for sure.
EAGLES - 2.5 - This game has a little trap feeling so we will take a different spread, but I am very wary of the Jordan Love injury, regardless of what the Packers have said. I know our SOS index says otherwise, but that is 1 element, look deeper at the games the Packers played, they lost to all the teams that made the playoffs, living in the division with Lions and Vikings, doesn’t put you on their level.
COMMANDERS - BUCCANEERS - 50.5 OVER - Get ready for a shoot-out. These two offenses are loaded, neither defense is anything that says playoffs to me and Tampa’s is down to practice squad players due to a rash of injuries. Good weather in Florida, will make this an atypical playoff game of many kinds. I think the winner is the team with the ball last.
VIKINGS - 2.5 - SORRY LA! I thought the Vikings would win this before everything that happened this week. The Rams losing home-field only makes it more so. I expect the Vikings and Lions will have a round 3 in 2 weeks.